Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 55.978098 63.848515 71.972935 80.952566 90.566634 100.520705 111.575271
2025-04-13 42.562756 53.492190 65.383564 79.142244 94.489787 110.962010 129.859023
2025-04-20 37.247898 50.166469 64.741849 82.117667 102.000974 123.803999 149.287649
2025-04-27 32.715020 46.979481 63.609863 83.955129 107.738256 134.275676 165.754808
2025-05-04 27.909996 42.839924 60.833935 83.408852 110.334626 140.863501 177.562592
2025-05-11 23.799886 39.080044 58.109655 82.561294 112.270946 146.444966 188.011577
2025-05-18 20.987612 36.674795 56.796004 83.192225 115.770778 153.694337 200.265293
2025-05-25 18.126003 33.889822 54.751227 82.705921 117.751687 159.026840 210.184589
2025-06-01 15.952249 31.827757 53.461240 83.013491 120.577932 165.271131 221.106475
2025-06-08 13.614538 29.267167 51.306663 82.045587 121.692883 169.364194 229.406384
2025-06-15 12.297312 28.106210 50.956763 83.344388 125.583540 176.773256 241.635814
2025-06-22 11.169789 27.119162 50.762147 84.782587 129.606024 184.318484 254.021485
2025-06-29 9.535005 25.136084 49.049935 84.134211 130.957377 188.622724 262.579913
2025-07-06 7.734287 22.618145 46.381024 82.044661 130.345871 190.431656 268.068085
2025-07-13 7.353917 22.615978 47.454761 85.121907 136.474037 200.639893 283.819369
2025-07-20 6.740912 22.096614 47.689821 86.992852 141.000295 208.841814 297.126277
2025-07-27 5.695360 20.575922 46.265435 86.435831 142.254209 212.890142 305.304215
2025-08-03 4.721217 19.028243 44.685830 85.569934 143.031652 216.291318 312.652832
2025-08-10 4.116699 18.177374 44.175888 86.214437 145.815028 222.230198 323.146187
2025-08-17 3.407826 16.940411 42.935246 85.717690 147.002489 226.097707 331.042648
2025-08-24 2.897545 16.077746 42.268136 86.031866 149.270959 231.339807 340.653282
2025-08-31 2.292906 14.801439 40.784770 85.043140 149.691999 234.160184 347.202445
2025-09-07 2.019799 14.396066 40.826204 86.369859 153.324735 241.155084 359.022226